Showing posts with label Food. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Food. Show all posts

Monday, June 20, 2011

Is Global Famine On the Horizon?

Chart of global trade volume in wheat, coarse ...Image via Wikipediaemail address for this web site: darkages2.0@gmail.com Please subscribe (right hand column), add to your bookmarks, refer this web site to others, offer suggestions for improvement, provide links back to this site from your own web site and post comments at the bottom of each article. If you would like to become a guest author, please let us know.

University of California Press
author Julian Cribb “was recently interviewed on the Financial Sense Newshour about the arguments in his new book, The Coming Famine. Cribb questions whether we can sustain our food supply through mid-century, when governments haven’t been investing in science and technology for food production in a meaningful way.

He believes it’s not too late to prevent a global food crisis, but we need to start planning now for what happens when oil and fertilizer become too expensive and farmers have lost significant land and water resources.

Cribb confronts us with some uncomfortable truths: we’re not going to fix the food crisis with technology alone; we’ll have to change our diets—people will need to eat less, and in such a way that doesn’t tax the land at current levels. Listen to the interview at FSN.

He also took up the issue of food security at the The Global Change Institute - The University of Queensland, Australia’s Food Security Summit. Watch his presentation” - Source: Is Global Famine On the Horizon? - University of California Press

In The Coming Famine, Julian Cribb lays out a vivid picture of impending planetary crisis--a global food shortage that threatens to hit by mid-century - that would dwarf any in our previous experience. His comprehensive assessment describes a dangerous confluence of shortages - of water, land, energy, technology, and knowledge - combined with the increased demand created by population and economic growth. Writing in brisk, accessible prose, he explains how the food system interacts with the environment and with armed conflict, poverty, and other societal factors. He shows how high food prices and regional shortages are already sending shockwaves into the international community. But, far from outlining a doomsday scenario, The Coming Famine offers a strong and positive call to action, exploring the greatest issue of our age and providing practical suggestions for addressing each of the major challenges it raises. “ - Source: FSN In Depth: Julian Cribb, The Coming Famine With: James J Puplava CFP – Media Options: RealPlayer, WinAmp, Windows Media, MP3

Other References:

Videos (Vimeo) and other material from Global Change Institute Insights [http://vimeo.com/user4945287]. The Global Change Institute, The University of Queensland, Australia [gci.uq.edu.au]

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Wednesday, November 3, 2010

Sailing the Great Pacific Garbage Patch - Capt. Charles Moore

Map of the North Pacific Subtropical Convergen...Image via Wikipedia
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Wednesday, October 20, 2010

2010 Global Hunger Index

“The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on the map above do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) or its partners and contributors.

As the world approaches the 2015 deadline for achieving the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) – which include a goal of reducing the proportion of hungry people by half – the 2010 Global Hunger Index (GHI) offers a useful and multidimensional overview of global hunger. The 2010 GHI shows some improvement over the 1990 GHI, falling by almost one-quarter. Nonetheless, the index for hunger in the world remains at a level characterized as “serious.” The result is unsurprising given that the overall number of hungry people surpassed 1 billion in 2009, even though it decreased to 925 million in 2010, according to the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.

The highest regional GHI scores are for South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa, but South Asia has made much more progress since 1990. In South Asia, the low nutritional, educational, and social status of women is among the major factors that contribute to a high prevalence of underweight in children under five. In contrast, in Sub-Saharan Africa, low government effectiveness, conflict, political instability, and high rates of HIV and AIDS are among the major factors that lead to high child mortality and a high proportion of people who cannot meet their calorie requirements.

Some countries achieved significant absolute progress in improving their GHI. Between the 1990 GHI and the 2010 GHI, Angola, Ethiopia, Ghana, Mozambique, Nicaragua, and Vietnam saw the largest improvements.

Twenty-nine countries still have levels of hunger that are “extremely alarming” or “alarming.” The countries with “extremely alarming” 2010 GHI scores – Burundi, Chad, the Democratic Republic of Congo, and Eritrea – are in Sub-Saharan Africa. Most of the countries with “alarming” GHI scores are in Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. The largest deterioration in GHI scores was seen in the Democratic Republic of Congo, largely because of conflict and political
instability.

Economic performance and hunger are inversely correlated. Countries with high levels of gross national income (GNI) per capita, an important measure of economic performance, tend to have low 2010 GHI scores, and countries with low levels of GNI per capita tend to have high GHI scores. These relationships do not always hold, however. Conflict, disease, inequality, poor governance, and gender discrimination are factors that can push a country’s level of hunger higher than what would be expected based on its income. In contrast, pro-poor economic growth, strong agricultural performance, and increasing gender equity can reduce hunger below what would be expected based on income.

The high prevalence of child under nutrition is a major contributor to persistent hunger. Globally, the biggest contributor to the world GHI score is child underweight. Although the percentage of underweight in children under the age of five is only one of three elements in the GHI, it accounts for nearly half of the world GHI score. Child under nutrition is not spread evenly across the globe, but instead is concentrated in a few countries and regions. More than 90 percent of the world’s stunted children (children whose height is low for their age) live in Africa and Asia, where rates of stunting are 40 percent and 36 percent respectively.

To improve their GHI scores, countries need to accelerate progress in reducing child under nutrition. Recent evidence shows that the window of opportunity for improving child nutrition spans the period from -9 to +24 months (that is, the 1,000 days between conception and a child’s second birthday). This is the period when children are in greatest need of adequate amounts of nutritious food, preventive and curative health care, and age-appropriate care practices for healthy development and when interventions are most likely to prevent under nutrition from setting in. After age two, the effects of under nutrition are largely irreversible.

To reduce child under nutrition, governments should invest in effective nutrition interventions targeted to mothers and children during the window of opportunity. These interventions should focus on improving maternal nutrition during pregnancy and lactation, promoting sound breastfeeding and complementary feeding practices, providing essential micro-nutrients, and adopting salt iodization, while also ensuring appropriate immunization. Achieving high coverage of these interventions could have a rapid impact on improving early childhood nutrition. Governments should also adopt policies that deal more broadly with the underlying causes of under nutrition such as food insecurity, lack of access to health services, and poor caring and feeding practices, which are exacerbated by poverty and gender inequity. Poverty-reduction strategies focused on reducing inequities are therefore part of the solution for improving early childhood nutrition, as are policies specifically aimed at improving the health, nutrition, and social status of girls and women.” - Source: International Food Policy Research Institute (The Work of the International Food Policy Research Institute).

The International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) seeks sustainable solutions for ending hunger and poverty. IFPRI is one of 15 centers supported by the Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research (CGIAR), an alliance of 64 governments, private foundations, and international and regional organizations. The interim website of the Consortium of the CGIAR Centers. Under the new Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research (CGIAR) model, the Consortium (established in May 2010) is a new legal entity established to lead, coordinate and support the Centers. The Consortium leads the formulation of CGIAR's Strategy and Results Framework, and the development of research programs under the strategy.

Related articles by Dark Time 2.0©

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Tuesday, September 28, 2010

Global Warming (including Videos) - Natural Disasters of 2010

Mean surface temperature change for the period...Image via Wikipedia(Purposefully duplicate post on Sometimes On The Edge© - News and Entertainment and Dark Ages 2.0+©).

It seems quite incredible that modern educated people still do not believe that global warming is occurring, largely a result of human activities:

Much of this, I am convinced, is just that people do not understand exponential mathematics:

YouTube Video: This is What Global Warming looks like.

See Video about understand exponential mathematics: The mathematics of the growth for climate change, energy use, food consumption and overpopulation, Global Warming in the index of Dark Ages 2.0+©

See also Video (the similar thing – different presenter): The Test Tube with David Suzuki - The Test Tube testtube.nfb.ca, from 100 and more great Scuba Diving and Snorkel Diving Adventures in British Columbia, Canada , Scuba diving in the Index of Sometimes On The Edge© - News and Entertainment

  1. Fertilizer and pesticide use has been increasing worldwide and there is increasing evidence that this results in spread of oxygen-starved dead zones that cannot sustain life. Aquatic and marine dead zones can be caused by an increase in chemical nutrients (particularly nitrogen and phosphorus) in the water, known as eutrophication. Spanish researchers also recently found that many species die off at oxygen levels well above what is now considered uninhabitable, suggesting that the extent of dead zones in coastal areas is greater than previously known. Dead zones are caused by excess nitrogen from farm fertilizers, factory and vehicle emissions, sewage and other pollution runoff 1. This exacerbates the problem of world hunger, since their are fewer fish to fish, in both interior and coastal areas.

  2. Feverish fires, with the soaring temperatures reduce crop yields and the release carbon dioxides,(CO2). The global warming gas and smoke, which reduces crop yields and contributes even further to the problem. (“An increased number of forest fires can exacerbate drought episodes by reducing rainfall. Smoke particles absorb solar heat, robbing convective currents of the energy they need to transport water vapor upward, and thus interfering with the cycle that generates rainfall in the region”.)

  3. Global Desertification Threatens Food Security with Worldwide Climate Change Record High Temperatures in the continental U.S. This has been the warmest year on record. And we're likely in store for more next year. "Heat waves and extreme drought will increase with climate change", UN agency says. Droughts in Russia caused by record heat forced the government to decide that it would not allow the export of any wheat this year, causing shortages and putting pressure on the world's limited food resources.

  4. Heavy rain and floods in China, Pakistan and the United States are destroying crops, putting additional pressure on the world's limited food resources.

  5. Heavy rain in many areas of Canada and the United States mid-west 'bread-basket'; major world source for grains (barley, corn, oats, wheat) have restricted supply. In the central prairie provinces of Alberta, Manitoba and Saskatchewan, and in the US Midwest, it was so wet in the spring that it was near impossible to plant. (See also: America's Breadbasket Moves to Canada? - NYTimes.com), In the fall of 2010 much of the limited crop that was planted is still unripened. In the north, if it is not ripe before the potentially killing frosts, many farmers will not get much, if any, crop harvested, at all.

  6. Massive ice melts in the arctic (and antarctic) are already causing an increase in ocean levels and flooding in some coastal areas (Indonesia, Thailand, and Bangladesh), destroying crops and even putting even furthering pressure on the world's limited food resources. It is not only small island states that need to worry about sea level rise. More than 70 percent of the world's population lives on coastal plains, and 11 of the world's 15 largest cities are on the coastal estuaries. Over the 20th century sea levels rose approximately 4.8-8.8 inches (12-22 cm) during the last century. The IPCC puts predictions of 21st century sea level rise at 9 to 88 cm. There are many variables - including how much the expected increase in precipitation will add to snow packs and, most importantly, our greenhouse gas emissions over the next decades. What we do know is that even a small amount of sea level rise will have profound negative effects. Sea level is rising along most of the U.S. coast, and around the world. In the last century, sea level rose 5 to 6 inches more than the global average along the Mid-Atlantic and Gulf Coasts, because coastal lands there are subsiding. East Antarctica’s massive ice sheets, which scientists believed to be relatively unaffected by global warming, have been melting at an accelerating rate since 2002, according to a new study.

  7. Overpopulation (referenced above, and below) and exponentially increasing populations in the world are making world hunger an increasing imperative.

  8. Soil degradation and failing yields is increasing the problem. Source: Causes of Hunger are related to Poverty — Global Issues

  9. Weeds and insects will change their range. In the Midwest (in both Canada and the United States) climate has already become wetter and warmer”, said Gene Takle, an atmospheric scientist at Iowa State University. ” - Source: New Weather Patterns Threaten U.S. Breadbasket, By Perry Beeman, IPS.

Other sources:

1 100 and more great Scuba Diving and Snorkel Diving Adventures in British Columbia, Canada from Sometimes On The Edge© - News and Entertainment

2 Food Security Threatened from index item “Food” in Dark Ages 2.0+©

3 Climate change around the world – BBC.UK

4 ipcc – the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change is the leading body for the assessment of climate change, established by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) and the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) to provide the world with a clear scientific view on the current state of climate change and its potential environmental and socio-economic consequences.)t

5 Vegetation Condition images for the United States based on NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) are available for viewing at this site.

Poodwaddle.com

Other articles from: Dark Ages 2.0+© [http://www.darktime2.com/]

Label (Index) Climate change, Desertification, Environment, Food, Global warming, Overpopulation in Dark Ages 2.0+© & Environment in Sometimes On The Edge© - News and Entertainment

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If you wish to forward in an email, you might copy and paste the following text:

Subject / Title: Global Warming (including Videos) - Natural Disasters of 2010

click on link Global Warming (including Videos) - Natural Disasters of 2010 in Sometimes On The Edge© - News and Entertainment

From: A Home Page - Sometimes On The Edge© - News and Entertainment

Index references: Environment (if you are later looking for it, go to the index in the right hand column. If part of that is obscured go to the 'A Home Page', (not the 'Home', linked at the bottom of the post as that will only take you to the latest article.)

and, purposefully duplicated in Dark Ages 2.0+© click on link Global Warming (including Videos) - Natural Disasters of 2010

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Thursday, September 2, 2010

The mathematics of the growth for climate change, energy use, food consumption and overpopulation

"Stop Global Warming And Save The Trees&q...Image via
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Wednesday, August 25, 2010

Global Desertification Threatens Food Security with Worldwide Climate Change

Projected temperature increase for a range of ...Image via WikipediaGlobal warming and drought is creating new deserts where none existed before, and expanding those deserts that were there already. Further:
  • Changes in weather patterns: creating droughts in some areas, and flooding others is also reducing the amount of land available for agriculture.

  • Increased demand to meet agricultural demands

  • Overuse created by overpopulation adds to the problem.

  • River are drying up and turning lush farmland into sandy wasteland.

  • Salt contamination is a growing problem as a result of chemical treatment of agricultural land and evaporation of irrigated soils.

  • Excessive travel is a 'double whammy'. On holidays people generally want to go where it is sunny and warm and the very act of travelling long distances releases green-house gases; and once the destination is reached increased water use by tourists at those location (where there is usually with lower rainfall), exacerbates the problem.

  • Deserts already cover more than 40 percent of the earth's land area and are growing because of that high demand.

Yet, there are many things about deserts that can benefit humankind.


A UNEP.com – United Nations Environmental Programme video also shows how deserts are essential, diverse ecosystems that should be protected from climate change. If lost, we may never be able to take advantage of the secrets to renewable energy and medicine these deserts contain. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ONWt83KD7g&feature=player_embedded

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Monday, August 23, 2010

Food Security Threatened

Logo of the Food and Agriculture OrganizationImage via Wikipedia

Studies estimate that one billion people are malnourished globally (Source BBC New – Special Reports).

That figure, given in studies by a number of think tanks and aid agencies, represents roughly one in seven of the world's population.

In fact, the FAO – Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations estimates that World hunger tops one billion. As of 2009, FAO estimates that 1.02 billion people are undernourished worldwide. This is the highest number since 1970, the earliest year for which comparable statistics are available. > Hunger at a glance > Policy brief > More graphs.

There are more hungry people than at any time since 1970, the earliest year for which comparable statistics are available.

Hunger has increased not as a result of poor harvests but because of high domestic food prices, lower income and increasing unemployment due to the global economic crisis.“

Analysis shows Afghanistan is the world's least food secure nation, followed by Democratic Republic of Congo, Burundi, Eritrea, Sudan, Ethiopia, Angola, Liberia, Chad, and Zimbabwe. These are classified as 'extreme risk' (red in the image provided by Treehugger). 36 of the 50 most at-risk nations in the world are found in Africa.

The availability of food, and people's ability to access it is known as food security. That security is at risk. In fact, a recent report by the UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FOA) announced that while production of food could keep up with human population, production would have to increase 70 percent by 2050 and prices would have to increase to account for inflation. In the next decade:

  • Crop prices will increase 15-40%

  • Dairy prices will increase 16-45%

  • Livestock prices will be higher than the 1996-2007 average, with the exception of pig meat

  • Vegetable oil prices will increase 40%

These average commodity prices increases from 2010-2019 are displayed in a chart of Agricultural Outlook, published by OECD and FAO.

The report was published under the responsibilities of the Director General of FAO1 and the Secretary-General of the OECD2 .

1The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations leads international efforts to defeat hunger. FAO’s mandate is to raise levels of nutrition, improve agricultural productivity, better the lives of rural populations and contribute to the growth of the world economy.

2The OECD - ORGANIZATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT is a unique forum where the governments of 31 democracies work together to address the economic, social and environmental challenges of globalization. The OECD member countries are: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Chile, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Korea, Luxembourg, Mexico, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal, the Slovak Republic, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, the United Kingdom and the United States. The Commission of the European Communities also takes part in the work of the OECD.

OECD Publishing disseminates widely the results of the Organization’s statistics gathering and research on economic, social and environmental issues, as well as the conventions, guidelines and standards agreed by its members. See also, The OECD's Online Library of Statistical Databases, Books and Periodicals.

The FAO does have a number of initiates to help alleviate soaring food prices.

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Thursday, November 12, 2009

Food Toxicity


I’ve been concerned about the industrial compound bisphenol A (BPA) ever since I first read about it, and have been chronically frustrated by its potential harm and prevalence in our environment–most specifically in our food, and hence, our bodies. More than 100 peer-reviewed studies have found BPA to be toxic at low doses. BPA is a synthetic estrogen and commonly used to strengthen plastic and line food cans. As Nicholas D. Kristof points out in an Op-Ed "Chemicals in Our Food, and Bodies", in The New York Times on Sunday, scientists have linked it, though not conclusively, to everything from breast cancer to obesity, from attention deficit disorder to genital abnormalities in boys and girls alike.” - Melissa Breyer. Read more at Care2: “Eating It? BPA Found in Surprising Places by Melissa Breyer

Original article in Care2: Eating It? BPA Found in Surprising Places

Label: Food